Sunday, March 11, 2012

Lin Vs Knicks, OR Linsanity was a pleasant dream

Facts: Lin will never flourish in Knicks team with Carmelo Anthony at best. Amare Stoudemire (Stat) ? Probably will work out for certain extent.

Melo will never find his niche in Knicks after Linsanity broke out in February.

Solution: The solution is either bench Lin while Melo and Stat are playing or the best starting lineup for Lin should be Lin, Landry, Tyson, Jeffries, Novak. On the other hand, Shumpert can rotate with either one of Jeffries or Novak, or at least Landry. And might I remind you that this starting lineup should be constant, uninterrupted by frequent rotations. And don't rotate with Melo in Lin's lineup. That will screw up for sure.

Results: Will this solution will get Knicks win the Championship? I highly doubt it. At least these match-up will give a partial answer to curb Knicks losing streak, but can't guarantee the ring.

Now let's go find out some interesting players analysis:

Ok, I've been pretty much following with the New York Knicks Basketball team after Linsanity broke out in Feb 10, I recall. Knicks Vs Nets, the game that Jeremy Lin become a basketball sensation in NBA. Do I need to mention the sensation is global?

After Lin was picked up from the end of the bench, Knicks became 7 straight win and Linsanity gave in when Knicks met Heat in Miami. Since then, Linsanity kind of cooled down, with public expectation that when Carmelo Anthony came back, he will ruin the tempo in Knicks and rightly so, he did although unintentionally, but unavoidably. What is really ruining Knicks tempo for this losing streak is not Carmelo, in my opinion; it is rooted in political display of players in the Knicks and the Mike D'Antoni's offensive approach to the game.

Let's just break down players stats, I'm not gonna dig into players field goal percentage, whatever percentage you can think of. If I tell you that you can put off fire by water, you don't need to know how water molecules react with burning oxygen from the fire.

Tyson Chandler: He's the tallest in the Knicks, so whenever game kicks in, his jump will give the ball to the Knicks. He is specialized in defense. He could be an asset sometimes when Knicks jumpshot didn't get the basket and get the rebounds, look at the Knicks Vs Raptor game when Shumpert took the last shot in tied game at 87, I heard some girls squeaking in the background. Shumpert shot didn't go in, but Chandler got the rebounds and passed the ball to Shumpert. Lin got the ball from Shumpert and finally shot the clutch 3-point. Since Chandler came from Mavericks, the last year Champion, all he cares is the ring. His role is defense. As long as offensive doing their jobs, his defense will help the Knicks win the game. Why I'm telling this Chandler's mindset? It's important because Chandler's specialized role in defense does not clash with point guard specialist. That's why we see a lot of chemistry during Lin's winning streak. Lin's alley oops and Chandler's dunk had been Knicks' fan's lasting memories.

Landry Fields: Landry and Lin goes way back when they were studying in Stanford and Harvard respectively. Whenever Lin visited his hometown in Palo Alto during his senior years, he used to play with Landry, as I recall. Might I also need to remind you that Lin slept on Landry's couch the day before Linsanity broke out against Nets in February? These two making rituals; flipping each other's books, putting the glasses back, and point their fingers up, they are kind of telling the world that they're ready to play some games seriously. Although Landry jumpshots are not consistent yet, he plays in almost every role. His defense, his ruffles, his dunk, his layup somehow makes up for his inconsistent jumpshot. He and Lin clicks a lot in terms of game tempo and chemistry. Why I'm telling you this? Am I developing bromance or brokeback mountain? No way! What I see from these two is both can really make a good team and Landry will fill Lin's weakness and Lin will look out for Landry if he's in the open space and can score. These two would be kind of similar to LeBron and Dwayne. I avoid to say they both are the same because some Heat fans will first throw me with their wrath for comparing these two nerdy rookies and their two kings. Anyway, Landry is in good form with Lin in the court.

Jeffries and Shumpert: Jeffries is not a powerforward, neither is Shumpert. These two are really putting their effort in defense as well as occasional shots at the rim. Since they are not powerforward, the creativity of point guard will help them score if opportunities arise. Sometimes opponent players do not seem to guard them well, presumably due to their relatively unpopularity comparing to Carmelo and Stat. So these facts are really useful when it comes to creating the space and letting them shot. Watch those Knicks game while Linsanity was at its peak, Jeffries shooting, Shumpert dunking are not uncommon. They know that their specialist roles are not powerforwad, rather defenses. But occasional rim opportunity made Knicks one of the best offensive teams, and yeah, of course during Linsanity at its highest peak. The reason why I brought this up is very important because IF Mike D'Antoni decided to choose either of these two, he should stick with them for at least 3 quarters or a whole game. Why? these two are defensive specialist, so when you rotate them, you won't see sudden jump in Knicks point. But their presence in the court will hinder opponents score less while Knicks will slowly get the score over time. But the coach didn't seem to focus on defense. He rather see Knicks points go up once his starting lineup begins the game. And if he saw the Knicks score remain the same, he will rotate bench players in time out quite soon. That actually kills the team tempo and chemistry.

Novak: Novak becomes 3point specialist. His breakout was equally in the same phase as Linsanity's. His 3 pointers were going up. His last 3 point in Knicks against Minnesota was actually savior. His constant shooting against Mavericks was pivotal in boosting Knicks moral in Madison Square Garden. For all that advantages he brings into the game, there's a setback about that too. He is not specialized in defense. So you gotta balance between his presence in the game and lack of defense. His 3 point will bolster the score time by 3. But you gotta have a tallest guy in the court to get the rebounds in case his shots are in the slumps. So you need to make use of Novak 3-pointer role wisely. You can't simply rotate Novak and let him score 3 points consecutively and afterwards bench him. You'd at least let a player play in the game for about 2 or 3 quarters until they feel it. If he's in the shooting slump, just change the technique and at least make use of his presence in the court like blocking the opponents.

Jeremy Lin: While Linsanity was at its peak, Lin was controlling the ball. Although his role as a point guard required him to pass the ball, but he was filled with defense players like Tyson, Jeffries and Shumpert. So in this situation he tried to score by himself. If he thinks his pass will only get the score, he passed. And Knicks defense was awesome at that time, considering all those defensive players in the court. He didn't really need to think of who to pass the ball or how many he should score. He will try to win the game and pass the ball when necessary. And his breakout at Knicks made him famous person and his stats are all over the internet. A wide array of technical analysis on his play inevitably ensued. His weakness in left paint and his high turnovers and such. He became a marked player and subsequently he's got double-teamed, evidence supported in the game against Miami Heat. I still think the reason why Knicks lost Heat was they weren't prepared. Everytime Lin's got double-teamed, there's nobody around him to get off one person. This double teaming made him pass the ball in questionable time when there's nobody around. So it became his high turnover and the title of "Jeremy Lin got exposed?" made a hit in the next day. Since then even his mere turnover number will make him an another pun of "Turnover machine". Whether or not I agree with that doesn't make any impact in our players analysis here.

Carmelo: Carmelo Anthony is not nobody. He's been playing basketball for almost a decade. He's in all star plays. He's in national team when playing in Olympics. And his salary is 18 million a year. So when someone with such a high profile came into the scene, he's gotta do something. He's got paid for something he should do in the court. He's a powerforward. His role is to shoot the ball, attack the defense, get the basket. That's what he must do. He will shoot whenever he thinks the ball will get the basket. He will hold the ball if he thinks he needs an extra time. He will dribble the ball if required. That's what he's been doing even before Lin became a global sensation. Since his specialized role is shooting, his defense is not up to par with those really good defensive players. His presence in the lineup will therefore need a really good defensive player in the Knicks. Meanwhile he must score up to his best skill level. Knicks fan came here in MSG to watch Carmelo score as many as possible. That's very important fact. Why? Because the reason why Knicks fan came to MSG after Linsanity broke out is to watch Lin play and feel the Knicks win the game. Even if Lin doesn't jack up many shots. See how they chanted when Novak stellar 3 point shooting "We want Novak" once Mike D'Antoni benched Novak. That's what Knicks fan hopes for.  These fundamental expectations between Carmelo (isolation play) and Lin (making Knicks bench players deep) made the chemistry between them very difficult. In other word, their chemistry will never work out in the court.

Lin and Carmelo
Lin as a point guard; such autonomous control over ball as a point guard, free will to shoot, pass the ball, became surrendered when Carmelo was back in the game. Why? His free will to pass the ball became compulsory pass the ball approach. He must pass the ball to Carmelo. Such subconscious message always seems to hinder Lin's play at his best level. He's always required to look out for Carmelo, pass the ball. Forget about who told Mike D'Antoni to let Lin play in the first place for now (Actually D'Antoni said he didn't remember Carmelo saying this to him). Such a hectic play, Lin is not basically looking for an open man, he's looking for Carmelo.

Carmelo is a powerforward. And before he came back, there was rumor travelling he's gonna hog the ball and will ruin the Knicks chemistry. Whether or not intentional, his attempt to prove those rumors wrong made the case way more worse than we expected. Once he's got the ball, he's not shooting. He's passing the ball. That proves he's willing to pass the ball. The problem is he's only good at shooting, not passing the ball. He's not point guard. So when he passed the ball, the receiver just got the ball, while surrounded by all defensive players of the opponent team. No way to shoot around. Knicks then gave up the potential score. When he took the shot, his mind seemed to be occupied with hit it or get screwed again mentality. If he scored, that's his job of scoring. If he didn't, Knicks fan will boo him and will tag him with hogging ball player name.

Lin + Carmelo + Stat
You can have an awful defensive play from the team. Lin height unfortunately made him liable in his defensive play. He can't reach out to the board which, by the way, Chandler is really good at. Carmelo and Stat being powerforwards, they're not going to help Knicks defense that much.

So with such chemistry going on between Lin, Melo and Stat, and each of these players roles, I don't see the solution between these three any time soon. If coach Mike D'Antoni continues to try building up the chemistry between these three, he would be the foremost and only one in NBA who tries to become an alchemist in history.

23 comments:

  1. very thoughtful post. like Jeremy, you don't take any hateful shots at anyone, just trying to be fair.

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  2. Very insightful analysis of the Knicks.

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  3. extremely thoughtful & well reasoned post.

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  4. Excellent analysis: thorough, objective, insightful. You're the first to mention points that I observe: too many rotations killing tempo and chance for player to get a feel for the game, political factors in display of players, Lin not being free to be opportunistic, and the impossibility of ever achieving three-way Lin-Melo-Stat chemistry.

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  5. I agree with Team 2 and not rotating teams, or at least not too often. It brings to mind last year when Landry faded away when he started playing with Melo. Chemistry is important. They had it during the "Linsanity" period.

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  6. Great read:)
    Very unbiased, which is why I enjoyed it even more.

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  7. Mike D’Antoni should read this analysis.

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  8. I need to give you a golden star and Mike D'Antoni needs to read this.

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  9. Someone needs to tweet this to the knicks players.
    I love how unbiased this post was and throughly analytical.

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  10. I agree, very insightful analysis. But this brings up a big problem. Do you play Chandler and Lin off the bench? You obviously can't have Melo and Stat off the bench... And it's pretty much too late to trade (not like there's anyone to trade to make it work).

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  11. so unbiased, so truth seeking -- it has to come from a big heart!

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  12. Can you somehow tweet this or fwd this to Knick's coaching staff so they can end their locker room mess, because there's too much finger pointing and blaming.

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  13. Five gold stars for this post.

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  14. Dear all, thank you very much for your reading and comments. Since I was so frustrated to see Knicks going down, I thought of breaking down each player stat and hopefully wish the best for Knicks in the future. I'm not sure I know Knicks coaching staff though. :)
    Have a good day ahead!

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  15. Did you create your own replies??? I mean the misspelling was terrible, you called Melo a power forward, then a shooting forward... I couldn't follow half the ish you were saying... Some of it is accurate but so off basis... Melo can play defense in fact he plays LeBron very well... The past Bulls game he was actually defending and rebounding majority of the blame should be on Amare and Lin...

    Lin need to look to pass more instead of looking to score... I felt Lin playing a soft schedule and having TOO much success was going to hender him from what he REALLY is a role player... His role need to be to facilitate the ball not score as much as he does...

    I totally disagree with your assessment of Landry... Watch his defensive possessions he's TERRIBLE... Why you think they play Shump for defensive purposes instead?? Amare is the worst defender on the team and Landry is barely off of that... Then he take stupid shots late in the game... Shump did it as well... Its like no one know their roles on the team... That's why this is a problem and its Mikey D fault...

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    1. Melo CAN play defense, he just chooses not to most of the time because he wants to save his energy for the offensive end.

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    2. That's why Lin and Melo can't work together, if Lin were to have his own team during the winning streak, leading and playing freely according to his instincts, we'd be winning games. Instead, with Melo on the floor, he is to play the 'role' of passing the ball, he shoots when he feels the team isn't clicking or that Melo's hand isn't as hot at the time so he doesn't pass. Nothing wrong with that. Jeremy is smart, he tries to do things patiently and will always give chances and risks because winning is his goal and winning should be the teams goal. But lately, I feel like Jeremy is the only one working his ass off out there while the star players stand around, just don't have the energy or willingness. Frustrating to watch. Which is why some haters emphasize the loss on Jeremy seeing how he tries to shoot here and there, but that's because the whole team just isn't scoring well and not playing like a team. Lin is more of a leader IMO because he can take risks and do things his way for the good of the team whether Melo likes it or not. But he doesn't complain nor blame anything on anyone. Except that one time when Lin was defending the fuck out of Jennings at the Bucks game near the last few minutes, while the whole team stood around watching as the ball went into the air, and what does Melo and Stat do? Stood there without giving any effort of boxing out. Just unacceptable. Lin's efforts that moment was really wasted, even he himself was damn pissed at them for not at least trying for a rebound. Ugh, anyway my point is, although majority of people would agree with me, I still hate the fact that there will always be certain trolls out there that will backlash. It's just terrible especially towards such a humble human being. I am no doubt, speechless.

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    3. @Anon 10:45 AM
      I watched that game and also frustrated with that too. Now Knicks coming back from Portland? There's gonna be a huge explosion of news regarding who's to blame for Knicks losing streak then.

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  16. @Anon 05:30AM
    I did not reply myself, why would I? If I wanted to, I would have done a million times to my other posts as well. Frankly, that post was written in one sitting. I didn't check if I'm using NBA terminology. Thanks for point me out though.

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  17. agree for the most part. and also agree with what someone above said. no way melo is coming off the bench, so davis should probably start. he is more pass-first than lin, who has the speed to attack the paint (davis not so much anymore since injury). chandler and stat on at the same time also seems to crowd the paint, and stat doesn't rebound as much as he should.. so need jared jeffries in that lineup. for starting lineup, i'd probably go with davis, melo, stat, jeffries, and shump.

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  18. Why so little mention of STAT?
    Still a very sensible and clear analysis.
    Thanks for posting.

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    Replies
    1. My bad, after writing the whole post in one sitting, I must have slipped one paragraph for Stat. Thanks for your comment!

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